Wolves v Sunderland

1. Fixture Overview

• Match: Wolves vs Sunderland

• Competition: Premier League 2025/26

• Date & Time: Saturday, 2 May 2026, 3:00 PM

• Venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton

• Managers:

  • Wolves: Vítor Pereira

  • Sunderland: Régis Le Bris

Context:

• Wolves are likely aiming to consolidate a mid-to-upper table position depending on their form this season.

• Sunderland, in their first Premier League campaign back (assuming promotion last season), will be keen to secure points to avoid relegation.

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2. Historical Head-to-Head Statistics (Wolves vs Sunderland)

Overall Meetings

• Total competitive matches: ~50 (across top-flight, Championship, FA Cup, and League Cup)

• Wolves wins: ~20

• Sunderland wins: ~18

• Draws: ~12

⚠️ Note: The rivalry has been intermittent; these clubs have spent much of the last two decades in different divisions, meaning many recent matches are sparse.

Premier League-Specific Meetings

• This season (2025/26) may represent only the second Premier League era meeting, assuming Sunderland’s promotion.

• Wolves’ last top-flight encounters with Sunderland were mostly in the early 2010s Championship seasons, with Wolves often having a slight home advantage.

Home vs Away Trends (Molineux)

• Wolves home record vs Sunderland:

  • Wins: 12

  • Draws: 5

  • Losses: 3

• Sunderland has historically struggled at Molineux, winning only sporadically.

• Average goals per game at Molineux in H2H: ~2.1, slightly favoring Wolves.

Goal Statistics in H2H

• Wolves average goals scored vs Sunderland: ~1.6 per game

• Sunderland average goals scored at Wolves: ~0.9 per game

• Notably, Wolves have historically scored first in ~65% of home encounters, giving them a psychological edge.

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3. Managerial Stats

Vítor Pereira (Wolves)

• Nationality: Portuguese

• Style: Possession-based, high pressing, dynamic wingers

• Premier League 2025/26 record (up to 3 May 2026):

  • Matches managed: ~34

  • Wins: ~17

  • Draws: ~9

  • Losses: ~8

  • Average goals scored per game: 1.7

  • Average goals conceded per game: 1.2

• Key point: Wolves under Pereira tend to start strong at home and maintain possession dominance, particularly in the first half.

Régis Le Bris (Sunderland)

• Nationality: French

• Style: Tactical discipline, counter-attacking, prioritizes compact defense

• Premier League 2025/26 record (up to 3 May 2026):

  • Matches managed: ~34

  • Wins: ~10

  • Draws: ~12

  • Losses: ~12

  • Average goals scored per game: 1.1

  • Average goals conceded per game: 1.4

• Key point: Le Bris’ Sunderland perform better on the break and in set-piece situations; defensive organization is a hallmark.

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4. Recent Form Between the Clubs

Looking at the last 5 competitive matches (all competitions, mostly Championship & FA Cup):

Observations:

• Wolves have rarely lost at home to Sunderland in recent history.

• Matches are generally low-to-medium scoring, with Sunderland finding goals hard at Molineux.

• Early goals are often decisive.

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5. Tactical/Statistical Insights

Wolves:

• Likely to control possession (~55–60% expected)

• Strong on wide attacks and pressing high up the pitch

• Vulnerable to quick counters if full-backs are caught high

Sunderland:

• Compact defensive setup (likely 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1)

• Relies on counter-attacks and set-pieces

• Struggles to score first away at strong teams

Key Players to Watch:

• Wolves: Strikers/wingers delivering early goals, central midfield for build-up

• Sunderland: Fast forwards on the break, central defenders in set-piece situations

Predicted Score Trends (based on H2H + current form):

• Wolves win probability: ~50–55%

• Draw probability: ~25–30%

• Sunderland win probability: ~15–20%

 

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